Kayanza United vs Vital'O: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Muyinga
The Footlab model makes Vital'O the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Kayanza United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kayanza United vs Vital'O?
Vital'O starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kayanza United have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Vital'O have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kayanza United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Vital'O win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Kayanza United 2-2 Vital'O | Ligue A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Vital'O 2-1 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Kayanza United 2-4 Vital'O | Ligue A |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Vital'O 5-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Vital'O 2-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Kayanza United 0-0 Vital'O | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Kayanza United vs Vital'O on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vital'O score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Vital'O | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kayanza United sit 8th in Ligue A (2 points from 2 matches) and Vital'O sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Vital'O | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kayanza United vs Vital'O?
- The Footlab model makes Vital'O the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Kayanza United.
- Where and when is Kayanza United vs Vital'O played?
- Kayanza United vs Vital'O is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.