Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar?
Newcastle Jets starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 8P. Wood
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 11J. Lolley
- 27J. Recchia
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Brisbane Roar
4-1-4-1- 17J. Vidic
- 6N. Maieroni
- 44J. Lauton
- 77M. Stajic
- 2Jacob Nasso
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 3D. Valkanis
- 15H. Bility
- 53A. Mitchell
- 2Y. Salas
- 1D. Bouzanis
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Newcastle Jets wins, 0 draws, 2 Brisbane Roar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 4-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-3 Brisbane Roar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar is played on February 13, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.