Newcastle vs Brighton: result 1-2 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on March 2, 2025 at 01:45 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Brighton?
Brighton won 1-2 on March 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′A. IsakNewcastle (pen.)
- 44′Y. MintehBrighton
- 114′D. WelbeckBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Brighton have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | Liverpool(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Manchester City(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Birmingham(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Arsenal(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Southampton(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-7 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Brighton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Newcastle 0-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | Newcastle 1-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Brighton 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Brighton 1-2 Newcastle | Premier League - Summer Series |
| May 18, 2023 | Newcastle 4-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Brighton 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle vs Brighton on Oct 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 2.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Brighton | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy