Newcastle vs Paris Saint Germain: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup F - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Paris Saint Germain?
Newcastle won 4-1 on October 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′M. AlmirónNewcastle
- 39′D. BurnNewcastle
- 50′S. LongstaffNewcastle
- 56′L. HernándezParis Saint Germain
- 90′F. SchärNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Burnley(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Manchester City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2023 | AC Milan(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Brentford(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Marseille(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Nice(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Lyon(away) | 4-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 12th in UEFA Champions League (14 points from 8 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 11th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy