Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Union Santa Fe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Newells Old Boys (1,794) and Union Santa Fe (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newells Old Boys have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Union Santa Fe have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Lorenzo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lanus(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newells Old Boys win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Union Santa Fe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Union Santa Fe 2-3 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Newells Old Boys 0-1 Union Santa Fe | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Union Santa Fe 1-1 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Union Santa Fe 2-0 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Union Santa Fe 1-3 Newells Old Boys | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Newells Old Boys 1-1 Union Santa Fe | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Santa Fe score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Union Santa Fe | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newells Old Boys sit 14th in Liga Profesional Argentina (15 points from 16 matches) and Union Santa Fe sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
- The Footlab model makes Union Santa Fe the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Newells Old Boys.
- Where and when is Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe played?
- Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.