Newport City vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 19Kick-off on January 9, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd
Full time
What was the result of Newport City vs Caerau (Ely)?
Newport City and Caerau (Ely) drew 1-1 on January 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′624088Newport City
- 59′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Trearddur Bay(away) | 3-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Treowen Stars(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Newport City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 4-3 Newport City | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Newport City 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 1-2 Newport City | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City on Oct 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newport City score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport City | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport City sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Newport City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2026Pontypridd Town0-3Ammanford AFC
- Jan 9, 2026Trefelin3-1Trethomas Bluebirds
- Jan 10, 2026Carmarthen Town2-2Cwmbran Celtic
- Jan 10, 2026Cardiff Draconians0-2Cambrian & Clydach
- Feb 7, 2026Baglan Dragons0-1Aberystwyth Town
- Feb 24, 2026Ynyshir Albions2-3Llantwit Major
- Mar 23, 2026Treowen Stars0-1Afan Lido