Annagh United vs Armagh City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BMG Arena, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annagh United vs Armagh City?
Annagh United is a heavy favourite: 1,388 Elo points against 1,075 — a 313-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annagh United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Armagh City have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Institute(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Annagh United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Armagh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Annagh United 3-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Annagh United 2-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Armagh City 1-2 Annagh United | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Armagh City 0-6 Annagh United | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Armagh City 3-1 Annagh United | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Annagh United 1-2 Armagh City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Annagh United vs Armagh City on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Annagh United score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Armagh City score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annagh United | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Armagh City | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Annagh United sit 7th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Armagh City sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 27 | 71 |
| 7 | Annagh United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annagh United vs Armagh City?
- The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Annagh United vs Armagh City played?
- Annagh United vs Armagh City is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BMG Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.