Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Newry
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?
Newington Youth starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,472 vs 1,244).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newry City AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Newington Youth have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newry City AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Newington Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Newington Youth 3-2 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Newry City AFC 0-1 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Newry City AFC 3-1 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Newington Youth 3-3 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Newry City AFC 1-2 Newington Youth | Irish Cup |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Newry City AFC 1-0 Newington Youth | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Newington Youth vs Newry City AFC on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newry City AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newry City AFC sit 10th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Newington Youth sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth played?
- Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.