Institute vs Dundela: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Dundela. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Institute vs Dundela?
Institute starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,446 vs 1,248).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Institute vs Dundela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Institute
Not enough data to predict the Institute lineup.
Dundela
Not enough data to predict the Dundela lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Institute have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dundela have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 7-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Institute wins, 2 draws, 1 Dundela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dundela 1-2 Institute | Championship |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Institute 2-1 Dundela | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Institute 1-1 Dundela | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dundela 2-2 Institute | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Dundela 1-3 Institute | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Dundela 4-3 Institute | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Institute score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dundela score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundela | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Institute sit 7th in Championship (59 points from 38 matches) and Dundela sit 11th (28 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 77 | 28 |
A question about Institute vs Dundela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Institute vs Dundela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Dundela.
- Where and when is Institute vs Dundela played?
- Institute vs Dundela is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.