Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC?
Glenavon FC starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,416 vs 1,245).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Glenavon FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Warrenpoint Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Glenavon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 0-2 Glenavon FC | League Cup |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Glenavon FC 1-2 Warrenpoint Town | Premiership |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Glenavon FC 2-2 Warrenpoint Town | Premiership |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Warrenpoint Town 0-3 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Warrenpoint Town 1-6 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
| May 14, 2021 | Glenavon FC 4-0 Warrenpoint Town | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC on Oct 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Glenavon FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Glenavon FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 8th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Glenavon FC sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Glenavon FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.