Newtown AFC vs Brickfield Rangers: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Brickfield Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Brickfield Rangers?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Newtown AFC (1,651) and Brickfield Rangers (1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Brickfield Rangers have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Newtown AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Brickfield Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers 0-2 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Newtown AFC 4-1 Brickfield Rangers | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Brickfield Rangers vs Newtown AFC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brickfield Rangers score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Brickfield Rangers | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Brickfield Rangers sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Brickfield Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Brickfield Rangers.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Brickfield Rangers played?
- Newtown AFC vs Brickfield Rangers is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.