Porthmadog vs Guilsfield: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 21Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Guilsfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porthmadog wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Guilsfield?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Porthmadog (1,511) and Guilsfield (1,601).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porthmadog vs Guilsfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Guilsfield
Not enough data to predict the Guilsfield lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 02:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Guilsfield have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coedpoeth United(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Porthmadog wins, 0 draws, 5 Guilsfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Guilsfield 4-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-1 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Guilsfield 4-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Porthmadog 1-2 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Nov 20, 2019 | Guilsfield 2-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guilsfield vs Porthmadog on Mar 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guilsfield score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Guilsfield | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 3rd in FAW Championship (23 points from 12 matches) and Guilsfield sit 8th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 23 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Guilsfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Guilsfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Guilsfield.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Guilsfield played?
- Porthmadog vs Guilsfield is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.