Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 21Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Bala Town starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,653 vs 1,528).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 3-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bala Town win, 0 draws, 1 Holyhead Hotspur win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town 3-4 Holyhead Hotspur | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Holyhead Hotspur 1-3 Bala Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 5th in FAW Championship (20 points from 12 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Bala Town vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.