Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town: result 4-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
Full time
What was the result of Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town?
Newtown AFC won 4-2 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′Gregory Alexander DraperNewtown AFC
- 9′J. HyneNewtown AFC
- 16′A. McCannNewtown AFC
- 49′A. VaughanDenbigh Town
- 70′B. BeaumontDenbigh Town
- 89′Gregory Alexander DraperNewtown AFC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Denbigh Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rhyl(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Llandudno(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Caersws(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Porthmadog(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Porthmadog(away) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Llandudno(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Flint Mountain(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 2.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy