Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town: result 4-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
Full time
What was the result of Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town?
Newtown AFC won 4-2 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′Gregory Alexander DraperNewtown AFC
- 9′J. HyneNewtown AFC
- 16′A. McCannNewtown AFC
- 49′A. VaughanDenbigh Town
- 70′B. BeaumontDenbigh Town
- 89′Gregory Alexander DraperNewtown AFC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Denbigh Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rhyl(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Llandudno(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Caersws(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Porthmadog(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Porthmadog(away) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Llandudno(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Flint Mountain(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 2.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 2nd in FAW Championship (24 points from 11 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 13th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy