Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Llanuwchllyn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Llanuwchllyn have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor 1876(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Newtown AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Llanuwchllyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Llanuwchllyn 0-0 Newtown AFC | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Llanuwchllyn vs Newtown AFC on Oct 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Llanuwchllyn score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Llanuwchllyn | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Llanuwchllyn sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?
- The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Llanuwchllyn.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn played?
- Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.