Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,495).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ruthin Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 1-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Ruthin Town 3-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 0-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.