Porthmadog vs Caersws: result 1-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Porthmadog vs Caersws?
Caersws won 1-3 on August 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′656321Caersws
- 72′Morgan Rhys Wyn OwenPorthmadog
- 81′583826Caersws
- 90′678921Caersws
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Porthmadog win at 49%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Caersws have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rhyl(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Porthmadog wins, 1 draw, 0 Caersws wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Caersws 1-2 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Porthmadog 1-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Porthmadog 4-0 Caersws | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Porthmadog on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 3rd in FAW Championship (23 points from 11 matches) and Caersws sit 6th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Caersws?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy