Rhyl vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Educate Group Stadium, Y Rhyl / Rhyl, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rhyl. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newtown AFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
On Elo ratings, Rhyl has 1,648 points and Newtown AFC 1,736.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rhyl
4-3-3- 9J. Parry
- 11A. Jones
- AAaron Hassall
- 8B. Lightfoot
- 7M. Murray
- 2B. Lawrence
- 5Mohamud Ali Mohamed
- 3B. Holmes
- 5R. Fairhurst
- RReece Fairhurst
- 1A. Swindell
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rhyl have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Newtown AFC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rhyl win, 0 draws, 5 Newtown AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Newtown AFC 6-1 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rhyl 2-5 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Newtown AFC 4-1 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Newtown AFC 1-2 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Rhyl 0-2 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Newtown AFC 3-2 Rhyl | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rhyl score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rhyl sit 11th in FAW Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 11 |
A question about Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rhyl.
- Where and when is Rhyl vs Newtown AFC played?
- Rhyl vs Newtown AFC is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The Educate Group Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.