Rhyl vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Educate Group Stadium, Y Rhyl / Rhyl, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Newtown AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Rhyl (1,619) and Newtown AFC (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rhyl have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Newtown AFC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rhyl win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Newtown AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Newtown AFC 6-1 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rhyl 2-5 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Newtown AFC 4-1 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Newtown AFC 1-2 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Rhyl 0-2 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Newtown AFC 3-2 Rhyl | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rhyl score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rhyl sit 8th in FAW Championship (5 points from 4 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 5th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Rhyl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Newtown AFC.
- Where and when is Rhyl vs Newtown AFC played?
- Rhyl vs Newtown AFC is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The Educate Group Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.