Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Porthmadog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newtown AFC wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,713 vs 1,552).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Newtown AFC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Porthmadog win, 0 draws, 0 Newtown AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newtown AFC 0-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Porthmadog on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 2.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 3rd in FAW Championship (27 points from 14 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 2nd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Porthmadog.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC played?
- Porthmadog vs Newtown AFC is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.