Niteroiense vs Serrano RJ: result 1-3 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Centro de Formação de Atletas TROPS, Várzea das Moças Niterói, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Niteroiense vs Serrano RJ?
Serrano RJ won 1-3 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′MarcelinhoSerrano RJ
- 10′608370Niteroiense
- 62′Matheus JuliaoSerrano RJ (pen.)
- 90′AnthonySerrano RJ
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niteroiense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Serrano RJ have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 3-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | América RJ(away) | 0-2 | Copa Rio |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Paduano(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Friburguense(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Paduano(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Niteroiense score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano RJ score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niteroiense | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Serrano RJ | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niteroiense sit 5th in Carioca - 2 (16 points from 11 matches) and Serrano RJ sit 3rd (18 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy