NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb starts as the favourite with a 300-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,890).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dinamo Zagreb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Mar 21, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-5 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Oct 5, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| May 17, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6th in HNL (6 points from 4 matches) and Dinamo Zagreb sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
- Where and when is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Dinamo Zagreb is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.