NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Opus Arena, Osijek
The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for NK Varazdin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate NK Osijek (1,889) and NK Varazdin (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Osijek have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; NK Varazdin have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 NK Osijek win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 NK Varazdin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-2 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Feb 8, 2026 | NK Varazdin 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Dec 3, 2025 | NK Varazdin 1-1 NK Osijek | Cup |
| Nov 2, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-0 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Aug 17, 2025 | NK Varazdin 0-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 17, 2025 | NK Varazdin 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Osijek score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; NK Varazdin score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Osijek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| NK Varazdin | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Osijek sit 2nd in HNL (9 points from 4 matches) and NK Varazdin sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
- The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for NK Varazdin.
- Where and when is NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin played?
- NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Opus Arena, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.