NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for HNK Gorica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1,890) and HNK Gorica (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; HNK Gorica have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 HNK Gorica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Apr 17, 2026 | HNK Gorica 0-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Feb 6, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Nov 3, 2025 | HNK Gorica 4-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| May 24, 2025 | HNK Gorica 0-3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Gorica score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| HNK Gorica | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6th in HNL (6 points from 4 matches) and HNK Gorica sit 10th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
- The Footlab model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for HNK Gorica.
- Where and when is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica played?
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.