Match

HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961: prediction and stats

HNLRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split

HNK Hajduk SplitIstra 1961

The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Hajduk Split wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (2,023 vs 1,853).

57%25%18%
HNK Hajduk Split winDrawIstra 1961 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Šego
  1. 20Alberto del Moral
  2. 7A. Sanyang
  3. 9Dali
  4. 23M. Šotiček
  5. 8K. Fayad
  1. 22M. Acapandié
  2. 6D. Hadžikadunić
  3. 32Š. Hrgović
  4. 15D. Marešić
  1. 33T. Silić

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1
  1. 94H. Jaganjac
  1. 22E. Frederiksen
  2. 25G. Albarracín
  3. 5D. Hodzic
  4. 30N. Skafar Zuzic
  5. 20D. Ahmeti
  1. 44R. Hrvatin
  2. 13Niko Šepić
  3. 3M. Nasraoui
  4. 4R. Kumar
  1. 1F. Kolić

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Istra 1961 have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HNK Hajduk Split
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026HNK Gorica(home)5-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961(away)2-2HNL
Oct 22, 2026FC Thun(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026NK Varazdin(home)1-0HNL
Oct 15, 2026Ajax(home)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Istra 1961
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Neretva Metković(home)3-0Cup
Oct 30, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(away)2-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(home)2-2HNL
Oct 17, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)0-2HNL
Oct 10, 2026NK Osijek(away)3-1HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 HNK Hajduk Split wins, 2 draws, 1 Istra 1961 win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961 2-2 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Aug 9, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Istra 1961HNL
Apr 7, 2026Istra 1961 1-3 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Jan 25, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 Istra 1961HNL
Oct 19, 2025Istra 1961 0-3 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Aug 3, 2025HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Istra 1961HNL

Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split on Oct 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HNK Hajduk Split score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Istra 1961 score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HNK Hajduk Split2.20.886/1510/15
Istra 19612.11.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st in HNL (26 points from 12 matches) and Istra 1961 sit 6th (16 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12822261126
6Istra 196112444211816

A question about HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Istra 1961.
Where and when is HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 played?
HNK Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Poljud, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: HNK Hajduk Split and Istra 1961

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