Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igralište NK Rudeš, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rudes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rudes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 1-6 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 5-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rudes win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 HNK Hajduk Split win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | HNK Hajduk Split 5-1 Rudes | HNL |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rudes 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Nov 4, 2023 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 Rudes | HNL |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Rudes 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| May 14, 2019 | Rudes 1-4 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Mar 16, 2019 | HNK Hajduk Split 3-0 Rudes | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs Rudes on Apr 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Rudes score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rudes sit 9th in HNL (3 points from 4 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Rudes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rudes.
- Where and when is Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište NK Rudeš, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.