NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
The Footlab model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
NK Varazdin starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Varazdin have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; NK Slaven Belupo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 NK Varazdin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 NK Slaven Belupo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-4 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Apr 12, 2026 | NK Varazdin 2-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 0-2 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Oct 25, 2025 | NK Varazdin 1-3 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 3-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Apr 22, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 0-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Varazdin score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Varazdin sit 3rd in HNL (9 points from 4 matches) and NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
- The Footlab model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo played?
- NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.