Match

Nkana vs Zanaco: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkana Stadium, Kitwe

NkanaZanaco

The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 47%, against 33% for a draw and 20% for Zanaco. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkana vs Zanaco?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Nkana (1,562) and Zanaco (1,533).

Nkana win47 %
Draw33 %
Zanaco win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Zanaco have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Kansanshi Dynamos(away)0-0Super League
May 17, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(home)1-2Super League
May 13, 2026ZESCO United(away)1-0Super League
May 3, 2026Nchanga Rangers(home)0-1Super League
Apr 30, 2026NAPSA Stars(away)1-1Super League
Zanaco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026ZESCO United(away)1-6Super League
May 20, 2026Kabwe Warriors(away)0-0Super League
May 16, 2026Nchanga Rangers(home)1-0Super League
May 12, 2026NAPSA Stars(away)0-2Super League
May 6, 2026Red Arrows(home)0-0Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nkana win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Zanaco win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Zanaco 2-0 NkanaSuper League
Sep 21, 2025Nkana 0-1 ZanacoSuper League
Apr 2, 2025Nkana 2-2 ZanacoSuper League
Nov 27, 2024Zanaco 1-0 NkanaSuper League
Jun 1, 2024Nkana 0-0 ZanacoSuper League
Dec 23, 2023Zanaco 0-1 NkanaSuper League

Last archived meeting: Zanaco vs Nkana on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zanaco score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nkana0.70.946/153/15
Zanaco0.91.275/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkana sit 13th in Super League (39 points from 34 matches) and Zanaco sit 7th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Zanaco3414812303050
13Nkana3491213233039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkana vs Zanaco?
The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 47%, against 33% for a draw and 20% for Zanaco.
Where and when is Nkana vs Zanaco played?
Nkana vs Zanaco is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkana Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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