Match

Nkwazi vs Kabwe Warriors: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka

NkwaziKabwe Warriors

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Nkwazi, 36% for a draw, 32% for Kabwe Warriors. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkwazi vs Kabwe Warriors?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Nkwazi (1,532) and Kabwe Warriors (1,579).

Nkwazi win32 %
Draw36 %
Kabwe Warriors win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kabwe Warriors have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkwazi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Prison Leopards(away)0-1Super League
May 20, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)1-0Super League
May 17, 2026Kansanshi Dynamos(home)1-0Super League
May 3, 2026ZESCO United(home)1-1Super League
Apr 29, 2026Nchanga Rangers(away)0-1Super League
Kabwe Warriors
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)1-2Super League
May 20, 2026Zanaco(home)0-0Super League
May 16, 2026ZESCO United(home)0-1Super League
May 8, 2026Nchanga Rangers(away)1-1Super League
May 3, 2026NAPSA Stars(home)1-0Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nkwazi win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kabwe Warriors win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Kabwe Warriors 4-0 NkwaziSuper League
Aug 31, 2025Nkwazi 0-0 Kabwe WarriorsSuper League
May 4, 2025Kabwe Warriors 1-1 NkwaziSuper League
Dec 14, 2024Nkwazi 1-0 Kabwe WarriorsSuper League
Mar 2, 2024Nkwazi 1-0 Kabwe WarriorsSuper League
Oct 1, 2023Kabwe Warriors 1-1 NkwaziSuper League

Last archived meeting: Kabwe Warriors vs Nkwazi on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nkwazi0.60.954/152/15
Kabwe Warriors1.10.985/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and Kabwe Warriors sit 4th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kabwe Warriors3414911302551
14Nkwazi3481313212837

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Kabwe Warriors?
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Nkwazi, 36% for a draw, 32% for Kabwe Warriors.
Where and when is Nkwazi vs Kabwe Warriors played?
Nkwazi vs Kabwe Warriors is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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