Match

Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Eagles Ground, Choma

Green EaglesMutondo Stars

The Footlab model makes Green Eagles the favourite at 49%, against 33% for a draw and 19% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Green Eagles (1,554) and Mutondo Stars (1,494).

Green Eagles win49 %
Draw33 %
Mutondo Stars win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Eagles have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mutondo Stars have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Green Eagles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Mines(away)0-1Super League
May 17, 2026Power Dynamos(home)0-1Super League
May 14, 2026Red Arrows(away)1-2Super League
May 7, 2026ZESCO United(home)1-0Super League
May 3, 2026Mufulira Wanderers(home)2-0Super League
Mutondo Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026NAPSA Stars(away)0-1Super League
May 17, 2026Mines(home)3-1Super League
May 13, 2026Power Dynamos(away)2-2Super League
May 2, 2026Red Arrows(home)1-0Super League
Apr 29, 2026Mufulira Wanderers(away)0-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Green Eagles win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Mutondo Stars win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2026Mutondo Stars 0-1 Green EaglesSuper League
Nov 23, 2025Green Eagles 1-1 Mutondo StarsSuper League
Jan 19, 2025Mutondo Stars 2-1 Green EaglesSuper League
Aug 28, 2024Green Eagles 1-1 Mutondo StarsSuper League
Dec 30, 2023Mutondo Stars 1-2 Green EaglesSuper League
Aug 19, 2023Green Eagles 0-0 Mutondo StarsSuper League

Last archived meeting: Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles on Apr 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Green Eagles score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Green Eagles0.90.956/155/15
Mutondo Stars0.90.937/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Green Eagles sit 6th in Super League (50 points from 34 matches) and Mutondo Stars sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Green Eagles34131110292550
16Mutondo Stars3471413233435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars?
The Footlab model makes Green Eagles the favourite at 49%, against 33% for a draw and 19% for Mutondo Stars.
Where and when is Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars played?
Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Eagles Ground, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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