Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 37%, against 35% for a draw and 28% for Green Buffaloes. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows?
Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Buffaloes have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Red Arrows have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Green Buffaloes win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Red Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows 2-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Red Arrows 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Red Arrows 4-1 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Green Buffaloes on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Buffaloes sit 12th in Super League (41 points from 34 matches) and Red Arrows sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 37%, against 35% for a draw and 28% for Green Buffaloes.
- Where and when is Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows played?
- Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Green EaglesvsMutondo Stars
- Jan 23, 2027Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsTrident
- Jan 23, 2027Mufulira WanderersvsRoan United
- Jan 23, 2027NkanavsZanaco
- Jan 23, 2027NkwazivsKabwe Warriors
- Jan 23, 2027ZESCO UnitedvsChirundu Utd
- Jan 23, 2027Konkola BladesvsNAPSA Stars
- Jan 23, 2027Kansanshi DynamosvsNchanga Rangers