Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Green Buffaloes. The most likely score is 0-0. If Red Arrows wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows?
Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,671 vs 1,496).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Green Buffaloes
Not enough data to predict the Green Buffaloes lineup.
Red Arrows
4-3-3- 28Ricky Banda
- 35James Chamanga
- 10Joseph Phiri
- 6Paul Katema
- 17Ackim Mumba
- 34Saddam Yussuf Phiri
- 21G. Ngwenya
- 32Benedict Chepeshi
- 15Allan Kapila
- 30Kebson Kamanga
- 16Charles Kalumba
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Buffaloes have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Red Arrows have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roan United(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chirundu Utd(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Inate Rouge(away) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inate Rouge(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Green Buffaloes wins, 3 draws, 3 Red Arrows wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows 2-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Red Arrows 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Red Arrows 4-1 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Green Buffaloes on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Buffaloes score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.2 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Buffaloes sit 12th in Super League (41 points from 34 matches) and Red Arrows sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
A question about Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Green Buffaloes.
- Where and when is Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows played?
- Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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