Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Green Buffaloes the favourite at 41%, against 37% for a draw and 22% for Nkwazi. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Green Buffaloes (1,511) and Nkwazi (1,532).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Buffaloes have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Nkwazi have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Green Buffaloes win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nkwazi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Nkwazi 1-2 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Nkwazi 2-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 1-2 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Nkwazi 2-1 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Green Buffaloes 0-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Nkwazi | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Buffaloes sit 12th in Super League (41 points from 34 matches) and Nkwazi sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
| 14 | Nkwazi | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
- The Footlab model makes Green Buffaloes the favourite at 41%, against 37% for a draw and 22% for Nkwazi.
- Where and when is Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi played?
- Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Green EaglesvsRoan United
- Oct 17, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsMakeni All Stars
- Oct 17, 2026NkanavsNchanga Rangers
- Oct 17, 2026Red ArrowsvsKabwe Warriors
- Oct 17, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsMufulira Wanderers
- Oct 17, 2026ZanacovsNAPSA Stars
- Oct 17, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsKonkola Blades
- Oct 18, 2026Power DynamosvsTrident