Nõmme United II vs FC Tallinn: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nõmme United II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for FC Tallinn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs FC Tallinn?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Nõmme United II (1,279) and FC Tallinn (1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme United II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; FC Tallinn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Nõmme United II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maardu(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flora II(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nõmme United II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Tallinn 1-1 Nõmme United II | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 4, 2026 | FC Tallinn 4-3 Nõmme United II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nõmme United II 2-2 FC Tallinn | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme United II score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tallinn score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United II | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Tallinn | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nõmme United II sit 6th in Esiliiga A (18 points from 14 matches) and FC Tallinn sit 10th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nõmme United II | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 18 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 56 | 27 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 54 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 39 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nõmme United II vs FC Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes Nõmme United II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for FC Tallinn.
- Where and when is Nõmme United II vs FC Tallinn played?
- Nõmme United II vs FC Tallinn is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.