Flora II vs Tartu Welco: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportland Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Tartu Welco the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Flora II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Flora II (1,374) and Tartu Welco (1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tartu Welco have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Elva(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 4-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 4-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flora II(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kose(away) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elva(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Flora II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Welco 2-1 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| May 17, 2026 | Tartu Welco 3-3 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Flora II 1-6 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Flora II 1-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| May 25, 2025 | Tartu Welco 4-2 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tartu Welco vs Flora II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flora II score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 3.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora II | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 3.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora II sit 3rd in Esiliiga A (26 points from 13 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
- The Footlab model makes Tartu Welco the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Flora II.
- Where and when is Flora II vs Tartu Welco played?
- Flora II vs Tartu Welco is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportland Arena, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.