Match

Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom

Nakhon PathomChainat

The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nakhon Pathom wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,387) and Chainat (1,378).

37%28%35%
Nakhon Pathom winDrawChainat win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nakhon Pathom

4-3-3
  1. 11Valdo
  2. 22P. Viriyachanchai
  3. 21N. Prachobklang
  1. 66S. Chaolaokhwan
  2. 6J. Phupha
  3. 55C. Otton
  1. 47A. Sangtong
  2. 44Amirhossein Nemati
  3. 5V. Filipović
  4. 33A. Sangram
  1. 76K. Pitaksalee

Chainat

4-3-3
  1. 20A. Ayeh
  2. 18K. Boonma
  3. 11S. Al Jaberi
  1. 22N. Kaewklang
  2. 10E. Mbarga
  3. 7M. Kongjumpa
  1. 17F. Khadearee
  2. 5Young-Jae Yoo
  3. 4T. Kiatlerttham
  4. 24A. Saengdaeng
  1. 19K. Chaodon

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chainat have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Chanthaburi(away)0-3Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Muangthong United(home)1-0Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)0-0Thai League 2
Sep 16, 2026Kanchanaburi(home)1-1Thai League 2
Sep 13, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Oct 11, 2026Songkhla(home)2-0Thai League 2
Sep 19, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away)2-1Thai League 2
Sep 16, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Sep 13, 2026Muang Loei United(away)0-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win, 2 draws, 3 Chainat wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Chainat 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Aug 27, 2025Nakhon Pathom 0-1 ChainatThai League 2
Mar 19, 2023Chainat 0-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Nov 13, 2022Nakhon Pathom 2-1 ChainatThai League 2
Mar 25, 2022Chainat 3-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Nov 13, 2021Nakhon Pathom 0-1 ChainatThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Pathom score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nakhon Pathom0.91.454/156/15
Chainat1.31.8310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nakhon Pathom sit 13th in Thai League 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Chainat sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chainat53117510
13Nakhon Pathom6141467

A question about Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat?
The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Chainat.
Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat played?
Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat is played on November 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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