Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Chainat (1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chainat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Chainat 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Chainat 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Chainat 3-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat is played on November 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 24, 2026ChanthaburivsEsan Pattaya
- Nov 25, 2026Kasetsart FCvsPhrae United
- Nov 25, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Nov 25, 2026SatunvsPolice Tero
- Nov 25, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Nov 25, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Nov 26, 2026UttaraditvsSongkhla
- Nov 26, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsMuang Loei United