Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Loei United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua PitchayaMuang Loei United

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Muang Loei United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Loei United?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Muang Loei United (1,466).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win52 %
Draw25 %
Muang Loei United win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Muang Loei United have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Muang Loei United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2025Sukhothai FC(away)0-4FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024Romklao United(away)2-0FA Cup
Sep 11, 2024Police Tero(home)1-1FA Cup
Sep 7, 2024Roi Et(away)0-1League Cup
Oct 4, 2023Nakhon Si City(away)0-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15
Muang Loei United1.41.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Loei United?
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Muang Loei United.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Loei United played?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Loei United is played on November 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nong Bua Pitchaya and Muang Loei United

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