Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom

Nakhon Pathom

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Nakhon Pathom win41 %

Draw27 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Nakhon Pathom 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Dec 3, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2
Feb 26, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Nakhon Pathom	League Cup
Jan 14, 2025	Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Aug 24, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 1
Feb 10, 2021	Nakhon Pathom 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.