Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Yavne have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Maccabi Yavne 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| May 15, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Yavne sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 4, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsTzeirey Tira
- Dec 4, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 4, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel HaderavsDimona
- Dec 5, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Herzliya