Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 12Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Azor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Hapoel Azor (1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Azor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Azor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Hapoel Azor 2-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-2 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Hapoel Azor 0-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-3 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Hapoel Azor 0-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Azor vs Holon Yermiyahu on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Azor score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Azor | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Azor sit 13th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Azor.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Azor is played on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsTzeirey Tira
- Dec 4, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 4, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel HaderavsDimona
- Dec 5, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsMaccabi Yavne
- Dec 5, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Herzliya