Maccabi Ashdod vs Tzeirey Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 12Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Maccabi Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Tzeirey Tira?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,670) and Tzeirey Tira (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tzeirey Tira have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tzeirey Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-3 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Tzeirey Tira 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Tzeirey Tira 2-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Tzeirey Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Tzeirey Tira on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Tzeirey Tira sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Tzeirey Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Maccabi Ashdod.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Tzeirey Tira played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Tzeirey Tira is played on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 4, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 4, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 5, 2026Hapoel HaderavsDimona
- Dec 5, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsMaccabi Yavne
- Dec 5, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Herzliya