North Macedonia U21 vs Italy U21: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 9, 2025 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Stadion Petar Miloševski, Bitola
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What was the result of North Macedonia U21 vs Italy U21?
Italy U21 won 0-1 on September 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′Luca MarianucciItaly U21
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Macedonia U21 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Italy U21 have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2025 | Poland U21(away) | 0-3 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Georgia U21(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Moldova U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Gibraltar U21(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Netherlands U21(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2025 | Montenegro U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Germany U21(away) | 2-3 | UEFA U21 Championship |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Spain U21(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Slovakia U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Romania U21(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
North Macedonia U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Italy U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Macedonia U21 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy U21 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
North Macedonia U21 sit 5th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 8 matches) and Italy U21 sit 2nd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | North Macedonia U21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2025Armenia U210-4Poland U21
- Sep 9, 2025Netherlands U212-2Israel U21
- Sep 9, 2025Lithuania U211-1Hungary U21
- Sep 9, 2025Moldova U212-3Slovakia U21
- Sep 9, 2025Norway U215-0Slovenia U21
- Sep 9, 2025Turkey U211-1Croatia U21
- Sep 9, 2025Luxembourg U210-1Faroe Islands U21
- Sep 9, 2025Montenegro U212-0Sweden U21