North Macedonia U21 vs Morocco U20: prediction and stats
Mediterranean GamesGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Trening centar Petar Miloševski, Skopje
The Footlab model makes Morocco U20 the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for North Macedonia U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North Macedonia U21 vs Morocco U20?
Morocco U20 starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Macedonia U21 have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Morocco U20 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Türkiye U20(away) | 0-3 | Mediterranean Games |
| Jun 8, 2026 | United States U20(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulgaria U21(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Armenia U21(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Italy U21(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Mauritania U20(away) | 2-1 | COTIF Tournament |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Valencia U20(home) | 2-0 | COTIF Tournament |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sevilla U20(home) | 3-0 | COTIF Tournament |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Sorriso EC U20(home) | 1-0 | COTIF Tournament |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Levante U20(away) | 0-0 | COTIF Tournament |
How many goals should we expect?
North Macedonia U21 score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morocco U20 score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Macedonia U21 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Morocco U20 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North Macedonia U21 vs Morocco U20?
- The Footlab model makes Morocco U20 the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for North Macedonia U21.
- Where and when is North Macedonia U21 vs Morocco U20 played?
- North Macedonia U21 vs Morocco U20 is played on August 26, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Trening centar Petar Miloševski, in the Mediterranean Games.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.