Northampton vs Crewe: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crewe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Crewe?
Crewe starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Crewe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 29A. Thibaut
- 10J. White
- 9J. March
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 4Kyle Ure
- 1T. Booth
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Crewe have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Northampton wins, 1 draw, 3 Crewe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crewe 1-0 Northampton | League Two |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Northampton 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Crewe 2-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Northampton 0-1 Crewe | League One |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Crewe 2-1 Northampton | League One |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Northampton 4-1 Crewe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Crewe | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 23rd in League Two (7 points from 8 matches) and Crewe sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Northampton vs Crewe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Crewe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Crewe played?
- Northampton vs Crewe is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.