Match

Crawley Town vs Rochdale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex

Crawley TownRochdale

The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crawley Town vs Rochdale?

Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,688).

29%28%43%
Crawley Town winDrawRochdale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Rochdale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crawley Town

4-4-2
  1. 14G. Di Biase
  2. 9D. Orsi
  1. 20J. Arthurs
  2. 22A. Adeyemo
  3. 30Kai Jennings
  4. 10S. Duke-McKenna
  1. 6P. Farquharson
  2. 5C. Barker
  3. 12L. Richards
  4. 24A. Odimayo
  1. 1V. Mannone

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
  1. 39D. Brown
  1. 17B. Adeeko
  2. 8H. Gilmour
  3. 45G. Middleton
  4. 21Kane Taylor
  5. 7C. Hayes
  1. 3Kaiden Wilson
  2. 2C. Tasker
  3. 44A. Flint
  4. 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
  1. 20Sam William John Waller

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crawley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Salford City(away)1-2League Two
Oct 10, 2026Chesterfield(home)2-2League Two
Oct 6, 2026Bromley(home)4-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Milton Keynes Dons(away)1-4EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Grimsby(away)0-2League Two
Rochdale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Crewe(away)2-3League Two
Oct 10, 2026Tranmere(away)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Huddersfield(away)0-5EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Swindon Town(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Fleetwood Town(away)2-1League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Crawley Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Rochdale win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rochdale 1-2 Crawley TownLeague Two
Mar 25, 2023Crawley Town 2-0 RochdaleLeague Two
Aug 27, 2022Rochdale 1-1 Crawley TownLeague Two
Mar 26, 2022Crawley Town 1-0 RochdaleLeague Two
Oct 9, 2021Rochdale 0-1 Crawley TownLeague Two
Jan 17, 2015Rochdale 4-1 Crawley TownLeague One

Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Crawley Town on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crawley Town1.11.728/158/15
Rochdale1.21.847/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (5 points from 9 matches) and Rochdale sit 13th (14 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Rochdale11425131514
24Crawley Town91269175

A question about Crawley Town vs Rochdale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Rochdale?
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Crawley Town.
Where and when is Crawley Town vs Rochdale played?
Crawley Town vs Rochdale is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Crawley Town and Rochdale

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