Accrington ST vs Exeter City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Exeter City?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,726) and Exeter City (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Exeter City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-1-4-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Accrington ST win, 2 draws, 3 Exeter City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Exeter City 2-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Exeter City 5-0 Accrington ST | League One |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Accrington ST 0-0 Exeter City | League One |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Accrington ST 1-1 Exeter City | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Exeter City 2-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Exeter City 0-2 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Accrington ST on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Exeter City | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 15th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Exeter City sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Exeter City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Exeter City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Exeter City.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Exeter City played?
- Accrington ST vs Exeter City is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.