Newport County vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Newport County (1,733) and Bristol Rovers (1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 19G. Garner
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 12Joe Thomas
- 1J. Wright
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 28A. Appiah
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 3J. Sparkes
- 21R. Smallwood
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 4K. Balmer
- 1Brad Young
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newport County wins, 0 draws, 4 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 5-3 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 3-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Newport County 2-3 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Newport County 0-1 Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Newport County 1-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Bristol Rovers 1-3 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Newport County on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 14th in League Two (18 points from 14 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 17th (16 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Newport County vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Newport County vs Bristol Rovers is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.