Northwood vs Waltham Abbey: result 3-1 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 18, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Roofing Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Northwood vs Waltham Abbey?
Northwood won 3-1 on October 18, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Northwood have 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Waltham Abbey have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2014 | Barton Rovers(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Barton Rovers(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 2, 2014 | Kings Langley(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Kings Langley(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 5, 2013 | AFC Hayes(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Harrow Borough(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2014 | North Greenford United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Barkingside(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Cockfosters(home) | 6-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Arlesey Town(away) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Northwood score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 14; Waltham Abbey score 1.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwood | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/14 | 9/14 |
| Waltham Abbey | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy