Norwich vs Millwall: result 4-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 10, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
Full time
What was the result of Norwich vs Millwall?
Norwich won 4-3 on November 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 24′Thomas Joshua ElliottMillwall
- 49′T. PukkiNorwich
- 79′Moritz LeitnerNorwich
- 81′R. LeonardMillwall
- 83′J. WallaceMillwall
- 90′J. RhodesNorwich
- 90′T. PukkiNorwich
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Millwall have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Brentford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Brentford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Ipswich(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Reading(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Norwich win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2018 | Norwich 2-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Millwall 4-0 Norwich | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2015 | Millwall 1-4 Norwich | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2014 | Norwich 6-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 23rd in Championship (0 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy