Nosta vs Izhevsk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Novotroitsk
The Footlab AI model makes Izhevsk the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Nosta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Izhevsk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,311 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nosta vs Izhevsk?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Nosta (1,496) and Izhevsk (1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nosta vs Izhevsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nosta
Not enough data to predict the Nosta lineup.
Izhevsk
Not enough data to predict the Izhevsk lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nosta have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Izhevsk have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubin Kazan 2(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ural II(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Orenburg II(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rubin Kazan 2(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ural II(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Orenburg II(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rubin Kazan 2(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Nosta win, 1 draw, 1 Izhevsk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Izhevsk 1-2 Nosta | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nosta 1-1 Izhevsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izhevsk 2-0 Nosta | Second League - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nosta score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Izhevsk score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nosta | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Izhevsk | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nosta sit 11th in Second League - Group 4 (18 points from 22 matches) and Izhevsk sit 8th (23 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 23 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 48 | 18 |
A question about Nosta vs Izhevsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nosta vs Izhevsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izhevsk the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Nosta.
- Where and when is Nosta vs Izhevsk played?
- Nosta vs Izhevsk is played on October 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.