Izhevsk vs Nosta: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Izhevsk the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Nosta. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izhevsk vs Nosta?
Izhevsk starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izhevsk have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Nosta have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KDV(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Orenburg II(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rubin Kazan 2(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ural II(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Izhevsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nosta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nosta 1-1 Izhevsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izhevsk 2-0 Nosta | Second League - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Izhevsk score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nosta score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izhevsk | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Nosta | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izhevsk sit 8th in Second League - Group 4 (23 points from 22 matches) and Nosta sit 11th (18 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 23 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 48 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izhevsk vs Nosta?
- The Footlab model makes Izhevsk the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Nosta.
- Where and when is Izhevsk vs Nosta played?
- Izhevsk vs Nosta is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.