Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on September 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nottingham Forest U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sporting CP B?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Nottingham Forest U21 (1,846) and Sporting CP B (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting CP B have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luton Town U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| May 11, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| May 4, 2026 | Peterborough United U21(away) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(home) | 3-2 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest U21 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nottingham Forest U21.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sporting CP B played?
- Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sporting CP B is played on September 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II